AIarXiv
Ranked by formulaVerdict: NotableAMLworld-Compact: Importance-Weighted Downsampling for Cost-Effective LLM Evaluation and Error Diagnosis
Evaluating large language models (LLMs) on AMLworld's smallest test splits is costly because each of over a million targets requires a separate graph prompt.
Key numbers
- 271x and 611
- 84.5% of correct and 56.2%
Caveats
- Preprint; not yet peer reviewed.
VerdictWorth a reader's time today.
Abstract
Evaluating large language models (LLMs) on AMLworld's smallest test splits is costly because each of over a million targets requires a separate graph prompt. Sampling reduces this cost, but small balanced subsets change unweighted precision and F1. We introduce AMLworld-Compact, an evaluation set that retains every illicit test transaction and samples benign transactions from supervised-score strata. Its HT-Coreset protocol reduces evaluation targets by 271x and 611x on HI-Small and LI-Small. Horvitz-Thompson weights give unbiased full-test confusion-count estimates for fixed predictions; recall is exact, while precision and F1 are ratio estimates. In a held-out study using Graph Feature Preprocessor (GFP) features, one boosted-tree family defines strata for evaluating the other over 500 draws per configuration. At the released sizes, F1 RMSE is 0.00-2.58 percentage points versus 4.44-7.41 for uniform sampling with HT weights; conservative intervals remain broad. Under the evaluated graph prompts, seven open-weight LLMs have weighted precision near the predict-all-illicit baseline. In an outcome-stratified audit of 1,000 HI-Small few-shot outputs from one run per model, lexical checks pass for 84.5% of correct and 56.2% of incorrect binary verdicts, so these markers do not establish correctness. We release the evaluation sets, construction code, and audit tools at https://huggingface.co/datasets/typhoon-ai/AMLworldCompactEval and https://github.com/nat-nischw/AMLworld-Compact.
The editor's rubric
| Dimension | Level | Weight | What that level means |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leverage | ████░ 4 | 24% | A general-purpose tool used across several fields (Adam, ResNet, LoRA, next-generation sequencing). |
| Magnitude | ███░░ 3 | 18% | Large gain: roughly 2x, or a clear new state of the art on a hard, unsaturated problem. |
| Evidence | ███░░ 3 | 14% | Solid: multiple benchmarks or cohorts, ablations, fair baselines, released code or data. |
| Novelty | ██░░░ 2 | 16% | A new combination of known ideas. |
| Trajectory | ██░░░ 2 | 18% | Some room to improve with obvious engineering. |
| Stakes | ███░░ 3 | 10% | Meaningful benefit to many people within a few years. |
Editor’s rationale
Heuristic triage from title and abstract text only, not a reading of the paper. Cues found: method (we propose); breadth (zero/few-shot); gains (x-fold); verification (held-out test, code released); stakes (global scale, general AI).
How the score was computed
- Merit
- 5.8 / 10
- Adjusted merit
- 4.8 / 10
- Attention
- 32%
- Freshness
- 38%
- Citations0 (reference 15, via semantic-scholar, Oct 12, 2026, 13:49 UTC)
- Influential citations0 (reference 3, via semantic-scholar, Oct 12, 2026, 13:49 UTC)
- Hugging Face upvotes11 (reference 25, via hf-daily, Oct 13, 2026, 01:15 UTC)
- GitHub stars0 (reference 250, via hf-daily, Oct 13, 2026, 01:15 UTC)